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The Coming Global Climate-Technology Revolution

机译:即将到来的全球气候技术革命

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摘要

Emissions of CO2 and other greenhouse gases can be reduced significantly using existing technologies, but stabilizing concentrations will require a technological revolution--a "revolution" because it will require fundamental change, achieved within a relatively short period of time. Inspiration for a climate-technology revolution is often drawn from the Apollo space program or the Manhattan Project, but averting dangerous climate change cannot be "solved" by a single new technology, deployed by a single government. The technological changes needed to address climate change fundamentally will have to be pervasive; they will have to involve markets; and they will have to be global in scope. My focus in this paper is not on the moderate emission reductions that can be achieved using existing technologies, but on the breakthrough technologies that are needed to reduce emissions dramatically. The challenges are formidable. Indeed, it is possible that the revolution needed to dramatically reduce emissions of greenhouse gases will fail. Should the climate change abruptly, the incentive to "engineer" the climate will be strong. There will be a climate-technology revolution, but its nature will depend on the institutions we develop to address the challenge we face.
机译:使用现有技术可以显着减少CO2和其他温室气体的排放,但是稳定浓度将需要技术革命-“革命”,因为它将需要在相对较短的时间内实现根本性的改变。气候技术革命的灵感通常来自阿波罗太空计划或曼哈顿计划,但避免由单一政府部署的单一新技术无法“解决”避免危险的气候变化。从根本上解决气候变化所需的技术变革将无处不在;他们将不得不涉足市场;并且它们必须在全球范围内。我在本文中的重点不是使用现有技术可以实现的适度减排,而是着眼于大幅减少排放所需的突破性技术。挑战是艰巨的。确实,大幅减少温室气体排放所需的革命可能会失败。如果气候突然发生变化,那么“设计”气候的动机就会很强。将发生气候技术革命,但其性质将取决于我们为应对所面临挑战而建立的机构。

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    Scott Barrett;

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